Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.039675 0.043129 0.046608 0.050368 0.054311 0.058317 0.062688
2025-10-19 0.034579 0.039722 0.045071 0.051026 0.057446 0.064137 0.071615
2025-10-26 0.030694 0.037063 0.043878 0.051658 0.060242 0.069374 0.079773
2025-11-02 0.026053 0.033101 0.040862 0.049943 0.060181 0.071279 0.084132
2025-11-09 0.022976 0.030590 0.039193 0.049477 0.061288 0.074293 0.089563
2025-11-16 0.020509 0.028554 0.037867 0.049221 0.062478 0.077276 0.094858
2025-11-23 0.019326 0.027927 0.038083 0.050660 0.065538 0.082322 0.102444
2025-11-30 0.018147 0.027194 0.038083 0.051771 0.068157 0.086823 0.109384
2025-12-07 0.016904 0.026278 0.037779 0.052445 0.070207 0.090628 0.115498
2025-12-14 0.015532 0.025094 0.037059 0.052544 0.071514 0.093523 0.120528
2025-12-21 0.014800 0.024693 0.037276 0.053756 0.074131 0.097940 0.127324
2025-12-28 0.013294 0.023149 0.035955 0.052982 0.074282 0.099395 0.130612
2026-01-04 0.012300 0.022272 0.035480 0.053281 0.075775 0.102500 0.135927
2026-01-11 0.011553 0.021693 0.035364 0.054014 0.077793 0.106235 0.142003
2026-01-18 0.010846 0.021125 0.035227 0.054693 0.079729 0.109869 0.147965
2026-01-25 0.009351 0.019279 0.033270 0.052927 0.078532 0.109648 0.149267
2026-02-01 0.008416 0.018212 0.032328 0.052449 0.078928 0.111345 0.152859
2026-02-08 0.007628 0.017314 0.031577 0.052185 0.079568 0.113322 0.156776
2026-02-15 0.007416 0.017331 0.032126 0.053679 0.082476 0.118118 0.164144
2026-02-22 0.007121 0.017191 0.032432 0.054830 0.084938 0.122361 0.170844
2026-03-01 0.006724 0.016846 0.032419 0.055530 0.086802 0.125855 0.176631
2026-03-08 0.006200 0.016243 0.031992 0.055632 0.087866 0.128336 0.181167
2026-03-15 0.005998 0.016195 0.032392 0.056887 0.090454 0.132744 0.188093